From COVID Cash Cow to Cancer Crusader: Moderna's Next Frontier
Moderna (MRNA:US), once soaring with a nearly $500 stock peak in August 2021, now grapples with a plummet to less than $87 as Covid-19 vaccine demand wanes. However, the biotech trailblazer is determined to redefine its trajectory beyond its initial blockbuster success.
The spotlight is now on Moderna's foray into cancer vaccines, a strategic move to counterbalance its dwindling COVID-19 shot sales. Collaborating with Merck (MRK:US), recent data unveiled a promising development—the mRNA cancer vaccine, paired with Merck's Keytruda, slashed the risk of recurrent late-stage skin cancer by an encouraging 49% after three years.
Moderna, led by CEO Stéphane Bancel, eyes a 2025 launch for a personalized skin cancer vaccine. Their mRNA-4157 targets unique tumor profiles post-surgery, signaling a shift in cancer care. Yet, the challenge persists: making these tailored treatments accessible to all.
Despite these strides, investor attention remains fixated on Moderna's Covid shot revenue forecasts, which have been underwhelming. Projections stand at $6 billion for the year and $4 billion by 2024, a stark contrast to the $18.4 billion reaped in 2022.
Nevertheless, these breakthroughs carry weight. The quest to design vaccines that equip immune cells against tumors hints at a potential upheaval in the $200 billion oncology drug market, steering the industry toward a new frontier.
Interestingly, amidst these developments, Rep. Ro Khanna entered the picture, investing $1,000 - $15,000 in Moderna's shares in November, coinciding with a per-share price of $77.53, adding an intriguing layer to the narrative.
